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The C.D. Howe Institute is an independent not-for-profit research institute whose mission is to raise living standards by fostering economically sound public policies. Widely considered to be Canada's most influential think tank, the Institute is a trusted source of essential policy intelligence, distinguished by research that is nonpartisan, evidence-based and subject to definitive expert review.

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Business Cycle

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Business cycle research covers the timing, depth and industrial scope of upswings, peaks, downturns and troughs in the general economy. It analyses short and medium-term movements in related indicators such as unemployment, investment or consumption, as distinct from their long-term, structural evolution. 

Revisions to Economic Statistics and Their Impact on Policymaking
October 17, 2017 - Philip Cross
Policymakers need not be the passive victims of revisions to the economic data they are scrutinizing, according to a report by the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Revisions to Economic Statistics and Their...
What do the Different Measures of GDP Tell Us?
December 8, 2016 - Philip Cross
How one views GDP has important implications for policymaking, states a new working paper from the C.D. Howe Institute. In "What do the Different Measures of GDP Tell Us?", author Phillip Cross ...
Taking the Economic Pulse: An Improved Tool to Help Track Economic Cycles in Canada
July 26, 2016 - Jeremy Kronick
A new business cycle measurement developed by a C.D. Howe analyst provides further evidence that there was no recession in 2015, according to a new Institute report. In “Taking the Economic Pulse: An...
Mortgage Insurance as a Macroprudential Tool: Dealing with the Risk of a Housing Market Crash in Canada
July 8, 2015 - James MacGee and Thorsten V. Koeppl
Canada’s mortgage insurance risk needs a better backstop fund, according to a new report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Mortgage Insurance as a Macroprudential Tool: Dealing with the...
Securing Monetary and Financial Stability: Why Canada Needs a Macroprudential Policy Framework
June 24, 2015 - David Longworth and Paul Jenkins
The Bank of Canada should focus monetary policy on inflation, not systemic risk, according to a new report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Securing Monetary and Financial Stability:...
User Discretion Advised: Fiscal Consolidation and the Recovery
July 22, 2014 - William M. Scarth
Ontario should not delay fiscal consolidation, while Ottawa should take a more gradual approach than planned, according to a report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “User Discretion Advised: Fiscal...
Robson, Kronick, Hui - The Durability of the Current Expansion
Intelligence Memos
From: William B.P. Robson, Jeremy M. Kronick, and Nikki Hui To: Worried Canadian Stock Market Watchers Date: February 12, 2018 Re: The durability of the current expansion A slumping stock market –...
Business Cycle Council Communique – December 2017
Council Report
December 13, 2017
The C.D. Howe Institute’s Business Cycle Council met on Wednesday December 13 to review its assessments of Canadian business cycle dates. The C.D. Howe Institute Business Cycle Council, chaired by...
Jim MacGee - Limit the Buildup of Risk, not Competition, in Mortgage Lending
Intelligence Memos
From: Jim MacGee To: Bill Morneau, Minister of Finance Date: November 10, 2017 Re: Limit the Buildup of Risk, not Competition, in Mortgage Lending Last month saw another move to limit the buildup of...

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26 Apr 2018
Apr
26
  • Baffling Budgets: Federal/Provincial/Territorial Accountability
Roundtable Luncheon with Stephen LeClair, William B.P. Robson and Aaron Wudrick
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Thursday, April 26, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
17 Apr 2018
Apr
17
  • Big Data, Bigger Problems: Who Owns Your Data?
Roundtable Luncheon with Kevvie Fowler, Adam Kardash and Kris Klein
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Tuesday, April 17, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
26 Mar 2018
Mar
26
  • Business Revolution or Peaceful Evolution? Rethinking Activities and Models with AI While Balancing Stakeholder Interests
Roundtable Luncheon with Benjamin Alarie, Adam Blinick, Andrew Hanff and Iliana Oris Valiente
Toronto, 67 Yonge Street, Suite 300
Monday, March 26, 2018, 12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
Sponsored by:
Accenture Canada

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© 2018 C.D. Howe Institute. All Rights Reserved.