Evidence Mounts that 2015 Downturn was no Recession

Report of the C.D. Howe Institute Business Cycle Council

December 21, 2016 - It is not possible to call the first two quarters of 2015 a recession. This is the consensus view of the C.D. Howe Institute’s Business Cycle Council, which met on December 13, 2016.

The C.D. Howe Institute Business Cycle Council, chaired by Steve Ambler, is an arbiter of business cycle dates in Canada.  The Council meets on an annual basis, or as warranted when economic conditions indicate the possibility of entry to, or exit from, a recession. The Council also acts as a conduit for research aimed at deepening understanding of how the economy evolves and to provide relevant information to decision makers.

The Council reviewed…

Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent for Next Year: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

December 1, 2016 — The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) today called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on December 7, 2016.  Looking ahead, the Council said the Bank should hold the target at 0.50 percent over the next six months, and narrowly voted for it to stay there until December of 2017.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the…

Damage Control: Abuse of Dominance and the State of Private Remedies in the Competition Act

Report of the C.D. Howe Institute Competition Policy Council

The federal government should cautiously expand the kinds of anti-competitive acts that private parties – and not just the Competition Bureau – can take legal action against in Canada to include abuses of dominance. However, the government should not otherwise lower existing thresholds for private parties to commence proceedings to enforce competition laws and should make no more than incremental changes to private rights of action. Although there was considerable difference of opinion regarding the extent and benefits of private party interventions, this is the majority view of the C.D. Howe Institute’s Competition Policy Council, which held its twelfth meeting on…

C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council: Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent for Six Months, Hike to 0.75 Percent by October 2017

October 13, 2016 — The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) today called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on October 19, 2016.  Looking ahead, the Council said the Bank should hold the target at 0.50 percent over the next six months, and called for an increase to 0.75 percent in a year’s time.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the Bank…

C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council Says Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent for Next Six Months, Hike to 0.75 Percent by September 2017

September 1, 2016 — The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) today called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on September 7, 2016.  Looking ahead, the Council said the Bank should hold the target at 0.50 percent over the next six months, but called for an increase to 0.75 percent in a year’s time.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the Bank…