Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.75 Percent Next Week; Hike to 1.25 Percent by September 2018: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

August 31, 2017 — The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.75 percent at its next announcement on September 6, 2017. The MPC called for the Bank to hike to 1.00 percent at the following announcement in October, with a further increase to 1.25 percent by September 2018.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council. Council members make recommendations for the Bank of Canada’s upcoming interest-rate…

Canada's NAFTA Challenge and the Reality of Chapter 19

August 11, 2017 - Dispute resolution has been a perennial hot-button issue in Canada-US trade talks for decades. And the upcoming renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) is no different.

In a special C.D. Howe Institute Communique, trade expert Lawrence Herman reviews the history, usage and outcomes of the dispute mechanism in NAFTA’s Chapter 19, providing an essential piece of analysis as negotiators and the broader Canadian public grapple with the complexities of the issue in the coming days.

What this overview attempts to do is to explain some of the underlying points that are glossed over in the US when complaints are levied against the binational panel system, showing the confined use of the…

Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent Next Week; Hike to 1.25 Percent by July 2018: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

July 6, 2017 — In a tight vote, the C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on July 12, 2017.  The MPC called for the Bank to hike to 0.75 percent at the following announcement in September, with further hikes to 1.00 by January 2018 and 1.25 by July 2018.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the Bank of…

Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent Next Week; Hike to 1.00 Percent by May 2018: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

May 18, 2017 — The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) said the Bank of Canada should keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on May 24, 2017.  Looking ahead, the Council said the Bank should hold the target at 0.50 percent over the next six months, and hike to 1.00 percent by May of 2018.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the Bank of Canada’s upcoming interest-rate…

Competition Bureau Should Not Have Power to Compel Information for Market Studies

Report of the C.D. Howe Institute Competition Policy Council   The Competition Bureau should not have the ability to obtain orders to compel Canadian businesses to produce information for use in a market study, according to the majority view of the C.D. Howe Institute’s Competition Policy Council, which held its thirteenth meeting on April 17, 2017. Such investigatory orders could result in significant costs for Canadian businesses. Council members were also of the view that the Competition Bureau has not identified how previous market studies were systematically deficient or that information obtained voluntarily from market study participants was inadequate so as to justify the potentially significant costs arising from investigatory…