Ambler, Kronick – The Bank That Didn’t Bark

To: Canadians Worried About Inflation From: Steve Ambler and Jeremy M. Kronick Date: February 1, 2022 Re: The Bank That Didn’t Bark The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate target steady at 25 basis points last week, which was a surprise to markets that had already priced in a rate increase. Despite that ample cover for a first […]

Where’s the hike? Why didn’t the Bank of Canada act? – Financial Post Op-Ed

In a surprise move, the Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate target steady at 25 basis points Wednesday. Markets had already priced in a rate increase by the time the announcement was made, so there was ample cover to make this the first post-pandemic increase. That didn’t happen. With inflation rising at home and abroad, we believe this was a missed opportunity.

Steady increases in inflation and inflation expectations had led markets to believe the bank was set to increase its target for the overnight rate for the first time since the pandemic began. Headline inflation was up to 4.8 per cent in December, all of the bank’s core inflation measures had increased — with two of the three at or above three per cent — and its…

Zelmer, Kronick – Is This Going to Be the Year for Crypto?

From: Mark Zelmer and Jeremy M. Kronick To: Canadian Crypto Watchers Date: January 19, 2022 Re: Is This Going to Be the Year for Crypto? The world got its first digital currency, DigiCash, in 1989. Nine years later it filed for bankruptcy. We’re still waiting for digital money to take over from cash – as seems inevitable. Is 2022 […]

Angelo Melino – A New Year’s Resolution for the Bank – Slim Down!

From: Angelo Melino To: Governing Council of the Bank of Canada Date: January 10, 2022 Re: A New Year’s Resolution for the Bank – Slim Down! Slimming down is usually a New Year’s resolution for individuals. This year, it would also make sense for the Bank of Canada. In addition to lowering its policy rate […]

Is 2022 the year crypto becomes money? – Financial Post Op-Ed

The world got its first digital currency, DigiCash, in 1989. Nine years later it filed for bankruptcy. Since then the world has been waiting for digital currency to take over from cash – as it seems bound at some stage to do. Is 2022 the year it finally happens?

Bitcoin (est’d. 2009) is the best-known crypto currency. Bitcoin does not have any value in its own right yet it has a market value near US$ 1 trillion, almost 40 per cent of the total crypto currency market valuation. Bitcoin aspires to be used widely as a currency and has been accepted as legal tender in some developing countries, most notably El Salvador. But its price in U.S. dollars — its exchange rate, if you like — is very volatile, making it too unstable for…

Harvey Naglie – Hit Pause on Ontario’s Proposed Capital Markets Act

From: Harvey Naglie To: Central Bank Observers Date: December 20, 2021 Re: Hit Pause on Ontario’s Proposed Capital Markets Act In October, the Ontario Government issued a consultation draft for a revised Capital Markets Act, intended to become Ontario’s new securities legislation. This is a rewarmed version of a decade-old proposal, a wasted once-in-a-generation opportunity for intelligent reform, and […]

Ambler, Kronick – Will Ending Supply Bottlenecks Solve Inflation?

To: Canadians Worried About Inflation From: Steve Ambler and Jeremy M. Kronick Date: December 20, 2021 Re: Will Ending Supply Bottlenecks Solve Inflation? Last week’s Bank of Canada policy rate announcement once again stressed supply chain bottlenecks as the source of the high and increasingly persistent inflation facing Canadians. So then, inflation should come down […]

The Bank of Canada’s mandate: steady as she goes – Financial Post Op-Ed

On Monday the Bank of Canada and Government of Canada finally announced the renewal of their agreement concerning the country’s monetary policy framework. The announcement reconfirmed their joint commitment to the two per cent inflation target within a band of one to three per cent. With the current agreement expiring at the end of the month, the down-to-the-wire announcement had led some pundits to expect a major surprise, and even in the follow-up coverage there are hints some believe this is what happened. We do not see it that way – which is good. The Bank’s mandate remains essentially unchanged from the last renewal, and from renewals all the way back to 1995 when the two per cent inflation target was first implemented. Extending…

The Bank of Canada’s inflation target: Stick with what works – Financial Post Op-Ed

Inflation has risen to almost five per cent and the year-end deadline for the federal government and the Bank of Canada to announce a new monetary policy framework is barely three weeks away. Should we be nervous?

Since 1991, the framework has been an inflation-control target, and since the end of 1995 that target has been two per cent. That system has been a striking success. The CPI’s average increase over the 25 years from 1995 until the onset of the pandemic was 1.9 per cent annually. Previous five-year renewals of the inflation-control agreement were quiet affairs with only minor tweaks.

Not so this time. COVID’s hit to productive capacity has combined with massive monetary and fiscal stimulus to push inflation well…

David O’Neill Losier – Let’s Give Credit Unions a Fighting Chance in the Digital Age

To: Banking System Observers From: David O’Neill Losier Date: December 7, 2021 Re: Let’s Give Credit Unions a Fighting Chance in the Digital Age Payments Canada recently declared that the “radical shift in purchasing behaviours since the onset of COVID-19 continues” as online payments surge. That is no surprise to any of us. The long-predicted digital revolution in financial […]

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