John Manley and Martha Hall Findlay – Here is how a second Trump presidency will be disastrous for Canada
Published in the Toronto Star.
It is critical for Canadians to have a conversation now about the prospect of a second Trump presidency. While the decisions of any U.S. president reverberate in Canada, Trump’s world view and governing style could wreak havoc on our politics and economy.
We have three major concerns for Canada with a Trump presidency as we outlined in the latest Regent Debate hosted by the C.D. Howe Institute: Damage to the Canadian economy, geopolitical security and a sinister, insidious deterioration of our discourse and democracy.
Conrad Black and former New Jersey governor Chris Christie argued the other side in the debate — that a Trump return was an opportunity for Canada — and it was a…
The Sixth Regent Debate – Can Canada turn a Trump presidency from a threat into an opportunity?
On the evening of September 24th, 2024 the C.D. Howe Institute’s sixth Regent Debate discussed the following – Be It Resolved: Canada can turn a Trump Presidency from a threat into an opportunity.
Author and businessperson Conrad Black and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie argued in favour. Director of the School of Public Policy at the University of Calgary Martha Hall Findlay, and Jefferies Securities Chair and former deputy prime minister John Manley argued against.
Duncan Munn – It’s b-a-a-ck. Quebec separatism rears its head again
Published in the Financial Post
As if productivity, growth, housing and health care weren’t challenges enough for Canada, an old threat is quietly re-emerging: Quebec separatism. The Parti Québécois (PQ), headed for government, is promising another referendum. The gathering storm demands attention.
In the 2018 Quebec provincial election the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) handed the PQ an historic defeat, reducing it to just 10 seats. The decades-long debate over Quebec’s place in Canada was widely assumed to have been settled, at least for this generation. But six years later the PQ is ahead in polls and its charismatic young leader promises to hold a referendum on sovereignty if elected. If an election were held today, the…
Preview: Regent Debate on a Second Trump Presidency
Could a 2nd Trump presidency actually be an opportunity for Canada?
That’s the topic of the next Regent Debate, taking place this Tuesday, Sept. 24.
Arguing in favour: Chris Christie and Conrad Black. Arguing against: John Manley and Martha Hall Findlay.
We asked debate jurors Sandra Pupatello and Lawrence Herman who they thought was going to win the election, and what Canada should do to prepare if Trump wins.
Watch what they had to say.
Wilbur Ross on Trump Back in the White House
If Donald Trump returns to the White House in 2025, Canada needs to prepare to open its wallet wider to NATO, and ask itself it is willing to die on the hill of Supply Management in the dairy sector. In this episode of the CDHI Podcast with Michael Hainsworth, Wilbur Ross, who served in Trump’s cabinet as US Secretary of Commerce, shares his insights on how Canada can best position itself amid renewed economic tensions if Trump wins the upcoming election.
If I were Canada,” he says, “I would try to do a lot of one-on-one rather than both Canada and Mexico in the room on top of the US.”
Ross is clear that Canada should not expect an easy ride. Trump’s “America First” policy, he says, isn’t “a blind thing” but rather a calculated effort to address perceived unfair trade practices. “All of our trading partners under Trump have to be prepared for the idea that the free rides, the excesses, are going to be attacked,” he warns.
Ari Van Assche – Let’s be careful how we de-risk supply chains
Published in the Financial Post.
With the recent wrap-up of Ottawa’s month-long public consultation on levying tariffs on electrical vehicles (EVs) made in China, let’s paraphrase a story Nobel Prize-winner Paul Krugman once used to explain the often under-appreciated benefits of free trade:
Consider a Canadian entrepreneur who starts a new business that uses secret technology to transform Canadian lumber and canola into affordable EVs. She is lauded as a champion of industry for her innovative spirit and commitment to Net Zero. But a suspicious reporter discovers that what she is really doing is exporting Canadian-made lumber and canola and using the proceeds to purchase Chinese-made EVs. Sentiment turns sharply…
Lawrence Herman – Mélanie Joly’s China visit is just the latest in a line of Canadian foreign-policy own-goals
Published in The Globe and Mail.
Canada has lost its way in the world. Its international influence and respect is in serious decline, as a result of a combination of poor political leadership and inept actions, especially during the nine years of Justin Trudeau’s government.
It is a challenge for any government to avoid foreign-policy missteps. Given the volatility in global affairs with unexpected crises beyond a country’s control, it is impossible to always get things right, as governments react and adjust to sudden events. But Canada’s errors in recent years go far beyond this, showing astonishing ineptitude – own-goals that will have long-term consequences, and are of the Liberal government’s own making.
Take…
Strengthening Global Supply Chains for Low-Emissions Technology: The Policy Playbook and the Trade-offs
Governments and companies are striving to lower emissions, through policies designed to encourage the adoption and manufacturing of electric vehicles, solar panels and wind turbines. Reliable supply chains are essential for that effort. Concerns, however, have emerged about the national security implications of the supply chains related to these emerging low-emission energy technologies. The worry […] Countdown to CUSMA with Lawrence Herman
From cows to cars, Canada is at risk of entering the trilateral review of CUSMA from a position of weakness unless Ottawa steps up and encourages the private sector to do the same. Veteran trade lawyer and C.D. Howe Institute Senior Fellow Lawrence Herman joins Michael Hainsworth to explain why he’s raising the alarm two years ahead of the talks.
Countdown to the CUSMA Review – Pitfalls, Politics and Horse-trading Ahead
has practiced international trade and investment law and policy in government and in the private sector for over 50 years.”” 2024 Directors Dinner – Canada-US Relations: The Road Ahead
Former ambassadors Kelly Craft, Gary Doer and David MacNaughton gave C.D. Howe Institute members, supporters and guests a substantive, ‘behind-the-curtains’ perspective on Canada-US relations at the Institute’s annual Directors Dinner on June 5th.
Ryan Manucha on BNN Bloomberg – Barriers to trade with provinces
Ryan Manucha, a Research Fellow at the C.D. Howe Institute, told BNN Bloomberg’s Taking Stock host Amanda Lang that barriers to trade within Canada’s provinces are costing consumers and the economy.