Konrad von Finckenstein – NAFTA Plan B: Amend the Trade Priorities Act

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed through the fall, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments. This post is part of that series. From: Konrad von Finckenstein To: The Honourable Chrystia Freeland, Minister of Global Affairs Date: November 14, 2017 Re: NAFTA Plan B: Amend the Trade Priorities […]

Jon Johnson – No Progress on Canadian Dairy Supply Management if NAFTA Talks Fail

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed through the fall, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments. This post is part of that series. From:  Jon Johnson To:  The US Dairy Industry Date:  November 6, 2017 Re:  No Progress on Canadian Dairy Supply Management if NAFTA […]

Hsieh, Li, Ossa, Yang – Free Trade is More Complex Than You Thought

From: Chang-Tai Hsieh, Nicholas Li, Ralph Ossa, Mu-Jeung Yang To: Concerned Canadians Date: October 19, 2017 Re: Free Trade is More Complex Than You Thought Most trade economists have come to believe that the gains from trade liberalization go beyond lower prices for imported goods. Inspired by the ‘new’ trade models of Paul Krugman and Marc Melitz, they now […]

Trump’s Zero-sum Game Has Likely Doomed Nafta – Globe And Mail Op-ed

Round 4 of the NAFTA negotiations ended in exceptional bitterness on Tuesday, with the United States presenting a series of deeply disturbing and unacceptable proposals. While the negotiating deadline was extended into early 2018, the talks are heading downhill and will likely hit the wall before then.

It’s interesting that commentators are now talking about the need for a Plan B (or C or D) for Canada, when it should have been clear that these talks were on a perilous slope from the outset.

While policy wonks were once full of naive optimism about modernizing the North American free-trade agreement, a cold shower of realism would have doused that rosy glow. The problem is these negotiations were never born of common…

Jon Johnson – Two Bilaterals – The “dopiest Idea I Have Heard This Week”

From:  Jon Johnson To:  Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and President Enrique Peña Nieto Date:  October 17, 2017 Re:  Two Bilaterals – the “dopiest idea I have heard this week” In his press conference with Prime Minister Trudeau last week, Donald Trump floated the idea of negotiating two bilateral trade agreements, one with Canada and the […]

Dan Ciuriak – Progressive Trade and the NAFTA Renegotiation

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments at the table. This post is part of that series. From: Dan Ciuriak To: Concerned Canadians Date: October 12, 2017 Re: Progressive Trade and the NAFTA Renegotiation In the NAFTA renegotiation, Canada is pursuing a […]

Jon Johnson – Us Access To Mexican Agricultural Market – Nafta Best Trade Deal Ever

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments at the table. This post is part of that series. From:  Jon Johnson To:  US Agricultural Organizations Date:  October 4, 2017 Re:  US Access to Mexican Agricultural Market – NAFTA Best […]

Peter Tertzakian – Oil Under the NAFTA Microscope

From: Peter Tertzakian To: NAFTA Negotiators/ Concerned Canadians Date: September 22, 2017 Re: Oil Under the NAFTA Microscope As NAFTA talks resume this weekend in Ottawa, oil is visible under negotiators’ microscopes. Last year, the bilateral trade of energy (including natural gas, oil and power) between the US and Canada was about $55 billion (all […]

Jon Johnson – Investor State Dispute Settlement Dies if US Withdraws from NAFTA

From: Jon Johnson To: Joshua Bolten, President and CEO, Business Roundtable And to:  Thomas J. Donohue President, U.S. Chamber of Commerce And to:  Jay Timmons, President and CEO, National Association of Manufacturers Date: September 13, 2017 Re:  Investor State Dispute Settlement Dies if US Withdraws from NAFTA Three weeks ago you wrote to Ambassador Lighthizer, […]

Jon Johnson – Another Fly in the NAFTA Ointment

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed through the summer and fall, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments at the table. This post is part of that series. From: Jon Johnson To: The Honourable Ministers of International Trade, and Foreign Affairs Date: September 7, […]

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