Jon Johnson – Why Does the US Want to Unravel the Trade in Textiles?

From:  Jon Johnson To:  The Canadian NAFTA Negotiating Team Date:  January 3, 2018 Re:  Why does the US want to unravel the trade in textiles? Textile and apparel goods are outliers in the world of trade agreements. Developed countries have historically insisted on special rules to protect their textile and apparel producers because of perceived […]

Konrad von Finckenstein – Accepting the Inevitable, It is Time to Prepare for a Zombie NAFTA

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed through the fall, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments. This post is part of that series. From: Konrad von Finckenstein To:  Chrystia Freeland, Minister of Global Affairs Date: December 19, 2017 Re: Accepting the Inevitable, It is Time to Prepare […]

Brenda González-hermosillo – Bringing Financial Services Into The Nafta Renegotiation

To: NAFTA negotiators From: Brenda González-Hermosillo Date: December 15, 2017 Re: Bringing Financial Services into the NAFTA Renegotiation Much has been said recently about the objectives and outcomes of the NAFTA renegotiation. Reflecting the US agenda, which called for the “modernization” of NAFTA, most of the discussions appear to have focused largely on tangible merchandise trade. Sometimes the […]

Jon Johnson – Don’t Be Nervous. Take Charge

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed through the summer and fall, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments at the table. This post is part of that series. From:  Jon Johnson To:  Senator Jerry Moran (Republican-Kansas) Date:  December 6, 2017 Re: Don’t Be Nervous. […]

Daniel Schwanen – China Opportunities Are What Canada Will Make of Them

From: Daniel Schwanen To:  François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of International Trade Date: December 4, 2017 Re: China Opportunities Are What Canada Will Make of Them Your visit to China with the Prime Minister, underlines that now is a particularly opportune time to launch trade negotiations with China. Chinese wages and standards of living continue to rise fast, while it […]

Hufbauer, Jung – A Modernized NAFTA: Energy Challenges and Opportunities

From:  Gary C. Hufbauer and Euijin Jung To: Concerned Canadians Date: November 30, 2017 Re: A Modernized NAFTA: Energy Challenges and Opportunities The energy landscape in North America has changed dramatically over the past two decades. A notable transformation is Mexican reform. Four years ago, President Enrique Pena Nieto signed constitutional changes that allow private […]

The NAFTA Renegotiation: What if the US Walks Away?

The US request to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) opens up the possibility of the trade agreement lapsing. In “The NAFTA Renegotiation: What if the US Walks Away?” authors Dan Ciuriak, Lucy Ciuriak, Ali Dadkhah, and Jingliang Xiao evaluate what would happen if trade between Canada, the United States and Mexico reverted to the rules under the World Trade Organization.

Dan Ciuriak – What if the United States Walks Away From NAFTA?

From: Dan Ciuriak To: Concerned Canadians Date: November 27, 2017 Re: What if the United States Walks Away From NAFTA? The renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) opens up the possibility of the trade agreement lapsing. Canada’s trade with the United States is remarkably balanced, when taking into account trade in goods, trade in services, investment […]

NAFTA Is Sinking, and Canada Needs a Lifeboat – Globe and Mail Op-Ed

There was zero progress at the North American free-trade agreement renegotiations in Mexico this week. In fact, the talks took a decidedly backward step, with the United States refusing to move off its red-line positions, something that was predictable given the updated negotiating objectives released by the U.S. Trade Representative ahead of this week’s session.

This is an “America First” administration, after all, with no interest in accommodation, increasing the likelihood of eventual U.S. withdrawal from the agreement, an action that President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened, in spite of intensifying business and political pressures to the contrary.

Given that gloomy prospect, let’s look at how things could…

Daniel Schwanen – Don’t Let Canada’s Tpp Tactics Morph Into A Strategic Blunder

From: Daniel Schwanen To:  François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of International Trade Date: November 17, 2017 Re: Don’t Let Canada’s TPP tactics Morph into a Strategic Blunder  Canada was right last week to back away from immediately signing on to a revamped Trans-Pacific Partnership, bereft of its largest original signatory, the United States. Certainly, it is important for Canadian […]

Jon Johnson – Stand Up to Trump on Trade

As NAFTA renegotiations proceed, the C.D. Howe Institute Intelligence Memos will be looking at what to expect and provide analysis on the latest developments. This post is part of that series. From:  Jon Johnson To:  Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Leader Paul Ryan Date:  November 16, 2017 Re:  Stand Up to Trump on Trade […]

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