Don Drummond – Budget 2021 Leaves Canada Awash In Debt For More Than A Generation

From: Don Drummond To: Canadian Debt Watchers Date: April 20, 2021 Re: Budget 2021 Leaves Canada Awash in Debt for More than a Generation The C.D. Howe Institute 2021 Shadow Budget recommended the federal government return to around the pre-pandemic 30 percent of GDP net debt burden within two decades. Yesterday’s Budget shows that marker of fiscal […]

Budget 2021 rolls all the dice – iPolitics Op-Ed

In 1990, then-prime minister Brian Mulroney infamously quipped that a first ministers’ meeting about the Meech Lake Accord was “the day I’m going to roll all the dice.”

The 2021 federal budget rolls Canada’s dice again, by burdening a generation with more debt. One hopes the result is more positive than what befell the accord and the Mulroney government.

Some of us were hoping the budget would introduce a fiscal anchor to return us to the pre-pandemic net debt-to-GDP ratio of around 30 per cent. And it’s there — in 2055.

In the intervening 34 years, Canadians will shoulder a higher debt burden — around 50 per cent until 2025-26. A graph depicts it declining ever so slowly after that.

The projection presumably…

William White – Build Back Better May Not Be Sufficient

From: William White  To: Canada’s Policymakers Date: April 14, 2021 Re: Build Back Better May Not Be Sufficient There seems general agreement that global policymakers must “build back better” in fostering recovery from the global pandemic. While laudable, the phrase hints at a degree of incrementalism that might be inadequate to overcome the challenges that humanity currently faces. […]

Recovery and Stability: A Shadow Federal Budget for 2021

Tough Choices Needed to Prevent Fiscal Meltdown: C.D. Howe Institute’s Federal Shadow Budget The Federal Government’s spending and borrowing cushioned the impact of COVID-19 on Canada’s economy, but have put national finances on an unsustainable path. The upcoming budget must make tough choices to put Canada on a path back to fiscal stability. As the […]

Kronick, Laurin – Capital Gains On Housing Won’t Cool The Market

From: Jeremy M. Kronick and Alexandre Laurin To: Real Estate Watchers Date: April 8, 2021 Re: Capital Gains on Housing Won’t Cool the Market The housing market is hot, and has been for several years, especially in Canada’s largest cities. Many policy attempts and proposals have been made to slow it down, almost always focusing on the demand side. […]

Stabile, Baker – How The Canada Child Benefit Is Performing

From: Mark Stabile and Michael Baker To: Child Poverty Watchers Date: April 7, 2021 Re: How the Canada Child Benefit is Performing While poverty afflicts many demographic groups, child poverty is typically viewed with particular concern. There is international consensus around the idea that early life experiences can have a disproportionate impact on adult socioeconomic outcomes and governments around […]

Don Drummond on BNN – Federal Shadow Budget

Don Drummond, Fellow-in-Residence at the C.D. Howe Institute and co-author of the Institute’s federal shadow budget, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss policy recommendations for the Federal Government.

William B.P. Robson – Is Inflation Back? In The End, It’s A Question Of Politics

From: William B.P. Robson To: Canadians Concerned about Inflation Date: April 5, 2021 Re: Is Inflation Back? In the End, it’s a Question of Politics Suddenly, inflation is in the news. In Canada and abroad, spending is surging and COVID-impaired production is struggling to keep up. Key commodities – oil, lumber and metals – are expensive. It is front-of-mind […]

Why A Capital Gains Tax On Principal Residences Won’t Help To Cool The Housing Market – Globe And Mail Op-ed

The housing market is hot, and has been for several years, especially in Canada’s largest cities. Many policy attempts and proposals have been made to slow it down, with the focus almost always on trying to reduce demand. The most recent proposal along these lines is a capital gains tax on principal residences.

The argument for taxing capital gains on the sale of owner-occupied principal residences is twofold. First, the argument goes, the tax will decrease demand for houses and condos, putting a stopper on illogical price appreciations. Second, governments are starved for tax revenues, and taxing these gains would help fill that gap.

In practice, however, neither of these is likely to play out as expected.

In some…

Don Drummond – Ontario Budget: Much Heavy Lifting Required To Achieve Fiscal Stability

From: Don Drummond  To: Ontario Budget Watchers Date: March 29, 2021 Re: Ontario Budget: Much Heavy Lifting Required to Achieve Fiscal Stability Ontario’s 2021 budget last week added a longer-term perspective to the usual short- or medium-term perspective of budgets, and it does not make for pleasant viewing. Its three scenarios for GDP growth – 1.8, 2.0 and […]

Membership Application

Interested in becoming a Member of the C.D. Howe Institute? Please fill out the application form below and our team will be in touch with next steps. Note that Membership is subject to approval.

"*" indicates required fields

Please include a brief description, including why you’d like to become a Member.

Member Login

Not a Member yet? Visit our Membership page to learn more and apply.