Trump Tariffs? Let’s Not Get Angry; Let’s Innovate

Published in The Gazette. Faced with people who constantly threaten others, my father used to say: bien faire et laisser braire, which literally translates as “do a good job and let them bray.” The old British wartime directive “keep calm and carry on,” now so popular, would be the equivalent today. We should heed this […]

Canada’s Trade Surplus with the US Widens Amid Tariff Threats

In anticipation of the looming tariff threat, exports from Canada to the United States increased at the end of 2024 and early parts of 2025, while imports from the United States remained steady. The result was a widening bilateral trade surplus for Canada.

Dollar Weakness is our Best Tariff Defence

From: William B.P. RobsonTo: Canadian economic observersDate: March 19, 2025Re: Dollar Weakness is our Best Tariff Defence The Canadian dollar is down about 6 percent against the US dollar since September. The coincidence of its recent ups and downs with the ebb and flow of US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats shows that much of its decline reflects concern about US protectionism. […]

US Demand Supports Many Canadian Jobs

According to the latest available data, many Canadian industries rely heavily on US demand, with resource-based sectors being the most exposed. In 2022, nearly half of forestry and logging jobs (49.3 percent) depended on the US market, followed closely by fishing and hunting (41.4 percent), mining and oil and gas extraction (41.0 percent), and manufacturing […]

Hard to stomach, but a weak Canadian dollar is our best defence against tariffs

Published in The Financial Post The Canadian dollar is down seven per cent against the U.S. dollar since September. The coincidence of its recent ups and downs with the ebb and flow of President Donald Trump’s tariff threats shows that much of its decline reflects concern about U.S. protectionism. U.S. tariffs on our exports will raise their price for […]

Holding the Line on Pre-Tariff Pricing

To: Canadian GovernmentsFrom: Brian LivingstonDate: March 13, 2025Re: Holding the Line on Pre-Tariff Pricing How to fight a tariff war? Canada’s main response to Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canadian products has focused on retaliatory tariffs that will hurt US exports to Canada, on the theory that adding to the existing self-inflicted pain of US tariffs […]

Canada-US Trade Supports Millions of Jobs

The total number of Canadian jobs tied to our exports to the US has grown over time, except during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic – though in both instances they rebounded quickly. While American jobs supported by US exports to Canada have declined slightly since 2014, they still total around 1.4 million. […]

Fighting Back in the US Trade War

March 5, 2025 – The first wave of tariffs imposed by President Trump on Canadian imports is an unmistakable attack on Canada’s economy and workforce, according to a new C.D. Howe Institute report. A special communiqué, “Bolstering Canada’s Response to US Trade Threats,” draws on insights from the Institute’s Trade Crisis Working Group, which met […]

Tariff Retaliation Needs to be Shrewder than Trump

From: William B.P. RobsonTo: Trade WarriorsDate: February 26, 2025Re: Tariff Retaliation Needs to be Shrewder than Trump Even before the end of his 30-day reprieve for tariffs on all Canadian exports to the United States, Donald Trump has threatened tariffs on US imports of steel, aluminum, automotive products, drugs and semiconductors. This erratic belligerence naturally tilts Canadians toward […]

Trump’s Tariff Threats and Likely Consequences

From: Glen HodgsonTo: Tariff watchersDate: February 24, 2025Re: Trump’s tariff threats and likely consequences Why has Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on Canada (and others)? And what are the possible impacts and consequences? Here are some observations, informed by my perspective as a former chief economist and an official at Finance Canada and Export […]

Doomed But Worthy: Canada’s Legal Challenges to US Tariffs

From: Lawrence HermanTo: Trade observersDate: February 20, 2025Re: Doomed But Worthy: Canada’s Legal Challenges to US Tariffs Canada is challenging US President Donald Trump’s tariff measures at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and under the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). Even if both those agreements are, as some people might say, on life support, Canada is doing the right […]

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