Our Retaliation Needs to Be Smarter Than Trump

Published in the Financial Post. Even before the end of his 30-day reprieve for tariffs on all Canadian exports to the United States, Donald Trump now threatens tariffs on all US imports of steel and aluminum. This erratic belligerence naturally tilts Canadians toward retaliation. Many are also talking about COVID-scale bailouts for those affected. But […]

Canada’s Resilience Wake-Up Call

From: Parisa MahboubiTo: Tariff watchersDate: February 18, 2025Re: Canada’s Resilience Wake-Up Call Donald Trump’s looming tariffs – including potential levies of up to 100 percent on Canadian-made cars – reinforces the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy. Whether the tariffs ultimately come into effect, partially or otherwise, this moment has exposed critical vulnerabilities in Canada’s […]

Supply Chain Working Group

Launched in early 2023, the C.D. Howe Institute’s Supply Chain Working Group brings together corporate leaders from key economic sectors, policy experts, and federal and provincial officials to drive policy discussions and advance related research. Through their collaborative efforts, the group is developing an actionable policy agenda to strengthen supply chain resiliency, support infrastructure growth, […]

Where the Puck is Going

From: Paul JenkinsTo: Economic policymakersDate: February 7, 2025Re: Where the puck is going Many believe we are living through one of the most revolutionary ages in history. The world has lived through many revolutions: the scientific revolution, the age of enlightenment; the French Revolution, and of course the industrial revolution – all accompanied by dramatic […]

Why Legal Challenges to Trump Tariffs are Futile, and Why We Should Mount Them Anyway

Published in The Globe and Mail. Canada is challenging U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff measures at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and under the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). Even if both those agreements are, as some people might say, on life support, Canada is doing the right thing. Despite the 30-day postponement of tariffs, Mr. Trump still […]

Brace for Impact: How Canada Should Fight Back Against Trump Tariffs

February 4, 2025 – The tariffs announced on February 1 by The White House on Canadian exports to the United States threaten to severely harm Canadian industries and the broader economy, even as their implementation is on pause, according to a new C.D. Howe Institute report. A special communiqué, “‘Canada First’ – Dealing with the […]

“Canada First” – Dealing with the US Tariff Threat: Inaugural Meeting of the C.D. Howe Institute Trade Crisis Working Group

The tariffs announced on February 1 by the White House on United States imports from Canada threaten severe harm to many industries and Canada’s economy. Although the application of the tariffs has been postponed until March, uncertainty about future US trade barriers alone is likely already leading some producers to pause investments in Canada. The C.D. Howe […]

Quantifying US Benefits from Canadian Crude Oil Exports

To: Tariff watchersFrom: Brian LivingstonDate: January 31, 2025Re: Quantifying US Benefits from Canadian Crude Oil Exports We still don’t know if, when, or how steep Donald Trump’s tariffs are going to be, but it’s not hard to tease out the effect of several scenarios. Canada’s oil and gas export to the United States in 2023 […]

Graph of the Week: US Crude Oil Production, Imports, and the Shrinking Trade Deficit

US imports of Canadian crude oil have displaced imports from more expensive or otherwise less desirable sources and complemented rising US production in meeting US demand (not shown here), including demand from US refineries that export petroleum products. As a result, the once-large US deficit in crude oil and refined petroleum products has almost disappeared.

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