Bank of Canada Should Hold the Overnight Rate at 1.75 Percent over Next Year, Cut if Necessary: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

November 28, 2019 – The C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) recommends that the Bank of Canada keep its target for the overnight rate, its benchmark policy interest rate, at 1.75 until December 2020. 1.75 percent was the median vote of the nine members attending the meeting, and is the Council’s formal recommendation. With four members expecting that various risks to the outlook would justify a cut in the overnight rate at some point over the year, however, and no members calling for an increase, the Council’s mean recommendation tilted toward 1.50 in the second half of 2020.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target…

Choosing Canada: Canadian Cultural Policy in the Twenty-first Century

Canada should ditch Canadian content tools that are ill-suited for the digital age, says a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Choosing Canada: Canadian Cultural Policy in the Twenty-first Century” author Daniel Schwanen sets out a plan to bring Canadian content policy into step with developments such as the emergence of digital competitors […]

Reboot Canadian Content Policy For A Digital Age: C.D. Howe Institute

Canada should ditch Canadian content tools that are ill-suited for the digital age, says a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Choosing Canada: Canadian Cultural Policy in the Twenty-first Century” author Daniel Schwanen sets out a plan to bring Canadian content policy into step…

Jon Johnson – Section 232 Auto Threat Expires

From: Jon Johnson To: Canadians Concerned About US Trade Threats Date: November 26, 2019 Re: Section 232 Auto Threat Expires Last week was significant for Canadians concerned about the possibility of US tariffs on imports of automotive goods under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. Donald Trump chose not to take action […]

Trade-related risks need a tough assessment – Globe and Mail Op-Ed

It’s now widely agreed that the global trading order has been shattered, led by aggressive actions under U.S. President Donald Trump’s “America First” policy. With national security as the rallying cry, tariffs have been weaponized, starting with U.S. surcharges on steel and aluminum, and extending into other areas.

Governments, including Canada, responded with countermeasures of their own on U.S. goods, as did many other countries. The spectre of U.S. surcharges on autos and auto parts continues to overhang global markets, along with the threat of additional U.S. tariffs on Chinese products beyond those currently hit and the likelihood of Chinese responding in kind.

Compounding these unilateral developments, the World…

Laurin, Omran – Opting Out Of The Canada Pension Plan

From: Alexandre Laurin and Farah Omran To:  Provincial Ministers of Finance Date: November 25, 2019 Re: Opting out of the Canada Pension Plan Alberta is studying opting out the Canada Pension Plan, and creating its own equivalent Alberta Pension Plan, much like the Quebec Pension Plan. The attraction of an APP, or theoretically any separate provincial plan, is […]

Requiring the Bank of Canada to follow a financial stability mandate is a bad idea – Globe and Mail Op-Ed

In the coming months, the Bank of Canada‘s mandate to target inflation is coming up for review. Some have suggested that the mandate should be expanded to include responsibility for financial stability, defined as heading off the imbalances that could trigger a severe financial crisis, such as what the world experienced just more than a decade ago. In a recent C.D. Howe Institute report, we argue, marshalling historical and empirical evidence, that granting the Bank an explicit mandate to target financial stability is not a good idea, and that doing so would create a conflict with its tried and true mandate for price stability.

Calls for central banks to take on responsibility for maintaining financial stability are…

The net neutrality fanatics were wrong – Financial Post Op-Ed

Two years ago, in another op-ed, I made an unpopular prediction. I guessed that the Federal Communications Commission (FCC)’s plan to scrap network neutrality rules in the United States would not break the internet. In fact, contrary to the dire forecasts of pro-regulation groups, I thought the measure wouldn’t amount to much of anything: that “net neutrality” legislation was pretty pointless — and so removing it would be uneventful, and certainly not bad for U.S. broadband.

My view was received with a fair amount of hostility. One reader memorably proposed on Twitter that I have intimate relations with my own eyeball. “You are clearly flexible enough and already blind,” he wrote.

I promised to check back in, in two…

Omran, Kronick – The Productivity Opportunity In Canada’s Financial Sector

From: Farah Omran and Jeremy Kronick To: The Hon. Bill Morneau, Minister of Finance Date: November 21, 2019 Re: The Productivity Opportunity in Canada’s Financial Sector    Productivity improvement is a central challenge to Canada, and its financial services sector is the proverbial low-hanging fruit. The sector not only employs relatively more educated workers and generates higher earnings than […]

Glen Hodgson – Creating A Policy Framework For Sustainable Green Finance

From: Glen Hodgson To: Canadians interested in sustainable finance Date: November 20, 2019 Re: Creating a policy framework for sustainable green finance Action on green finance is taking place in many places and in many directions, but there are still many gaps, with no coherent policy framework in place. What would such a framework look like? The expert […]

Benjamin Dachis – Mandate Letters To The Incoming Canadian Government

To: The Incoming Federal Government Date: October 21, 2019 From: Benjamin Dachis Re: Mandate letters to the incoming Canadian government Today, Canadians go to the polls to elect the 43rd Parliament. The shape of the next government is uncertain. But no matter the outcome, improving the living standards of Canadians should be at the forefront of the government’s agenda. This […]

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