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Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy
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| Citation | Jeremy Kronick and Ambler, Steve. 2020. "Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy." ###. Toronto: C.D. Howe Institute. |
| Page Title: | Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy – C.D. Howe Institute |
| Article Title: | Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy |
| URL: | https://cdhowe.org/publication/predicting-financial-crises-search-most-telling-red-flag-economy/ |
| Published Date: | February 13, 2020 |
| Accessed Date: | February 17, 2026 |
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February 13, 2020 – Canadians’ level of indebtedness is raising concerns on the basis of several traditional measures, but the most reliable predictor of trouble ahead is the debt-service ratio, says a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute.
In “Predicting Financial Crises: The Search for the Most Telling Red Flag in the Economy,” authors Jeremy Kronick and Steve Ambler point to debt servicing as an improvement over traditional credit measures in predicting future economic growth and financial crises.
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