Productivity and the Financial Sector – What’s Missing?


Michael K. Feldman – The Many Benefits of Longer Mortgages


The Case for Longer Mortgages: Addressing the Mismatch between Term and Amortization


Robson, Kronick, Hui – The Durability of the Current Expansion


Kronick And Omran – China And Australia, Lessons For Canada’s Financial Sector


Waiting for Stephen Poloz: A challenging 2018 lies ahead – Globe and Mail Op-Ed
As was widely expected, the Bank of Canada announced on Wednesday that it was not changing its target overnight rate. Despite the announcement reinforcing expectations, the emphasis on caution was enough to knock more than a half a cent off the value of the Canadian dollar before the end of Wednesday morning. With uncertainty on the horizon for 2018, the year promises to be a challenging one for our central bankers – one that will require market guidance.
The overall tone was balanced and the announcement emphasized caution. The global economy is in good shape with U.S. growth in the third quarter stronger than expected. Risks, however, remain in the form of geopolitics and trade. It also simultaneously warned that “higher rates…
Is Canada prepared for the next big financial crisis?: Globe and Mail Op-Ed
Canada has unfinished business when it comes to preparing for the next big financial crisis. Certainly, our financial system held up comparatively well in the 2008 crisis, and lots has been done, but we have shortcomings still to address.
When the International Monetary Fund last reviewed Canada’s financial system in 2014, it recommended we do better in managing federal-provincial co-ordination around systemic risk oversight, and improve systemic risk management in capital markets. The IMF will return soon for an update assessment. So the question is, how are we doing?
As argued in a recent C.D. Howe Institute paper, Canadians should expect a higher level of preparedness from all relevant federal and provincial…
Opportunities for Better Systemic Risk Management in Canada


Nicholas Le Pan – Getting Canada Ready for Its Systemic Risk Audit


Harvey Naglie – The New Capital Markets Securities Regulator Is Not Investor Friendly


Not Ready for Prime Time: Canada’s Proposed New Securities Regulator


Mortgage Insurance Deductibles: An Idea Whose Time Hasn’t Come: Globe And Mail Op-ed
The rise in house prices – especially in Toronto and Vancouver – has coincided with a build-up of risks in the mortgage market and homeowners taking on too much debt relative to their income.
In response, the federal Department of Finance has proposed shifting some of the risk of mortgage defaults onto lenders from insurers, through a mortgage insurance deductible that would come out of the lender’s pocket in the case of mortgage default. Good intent. Bad idea.
The hope is that by shifting some of the potential losses from mortgage defaults onto lenders, a deductible would reduce the number of risky mortgage loans originated by lenders. But introducing a mortgage insurance deductible is a blunt and ineffective tool that…