Food inflation will test Bank of Canada’s limits

Published in The Globe and Mail. On Wednesday, to the surprise of few, the Bank of Canada held its policy interest rate at 2.25 per cent. We agree with the decision, though believe food price increases are likely to pose an ongoing challenge for the bank. It could test the limits of monetary policy. When the bank […]

Conflicting Signals Abound and Explain Interest Rate Caution

From: Jeremy M. Kronick and Steve AmblerTo: Interest rate watchersDate: December 16, 2025Re: Conflicting Signals Abound and Explain Interest Rate Caution Last week, the Bank of Canada held its policy interest rate (the overnight rate target) at 2.25 percent, in a move widely anticipated by financial markets. And while the last year has often seen the […]

Don’t be surprised if the Bank of Canada raises interest rates next

Ottawa’s forthcoming AI strategy needs to walk a tightrope between two equally important principles: safeguarding Canadians from possible misuses of AI but also giving our private and academic sectors the leeway to use Canada’s AI strengths to develop and commercialize new technologies and products.

Don’t Take It for Granted: Strengthening the Bank of Canada’s Independence

 In this E-Brief, we make the case for the importance of central bank operational independence from government.  We make two proposals to further strengthen the already well-entrenched independence of the Bank of Canada.  First, we argue for strengthening parliamentary oversight over the use of section 14 of the Bank of Canada Act, which allows the government […]

Uncertain Road Ahead for Bank of Canada Interest Rate

From: Jeremy M. Kronick and Steve AmblerTo: Interest rate watchersDate: November 4, 2025Re: Uncertain Road Ahead for Bank of Canada Interest Rate Last week, as widely expected, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by a quarter-percentage-point to 2.25 percent. On the basis of economic data alone, this was a tough call. While the Bank’s Governor […]

Is the Bank of Canada Too Optimistic?

From: Don DrummondTo: Fiscal observersDate: October 31, 2025Re: Is the Bank of Canada Too Optimistic? The Bank of Canada labels US tariffs a structural shock to the Canadian economy. There seems an effort to depict the economic projection in the October 2025 Monetary Policy Report as rather grim. It is noted, for example, that the […]

The Bank of Canada’s rate cut makes sense. But now what?

Published in The Globe and Mail. On Wednesday, in a move anticipated by financial markets, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by a quarter-percentage-point to 2.25 per cent. On the basis of economic data alone, this was a tough call. While the governor helped shape market expectations this time, we believe the future path of […]

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