Sands and MacKenzie – New Rules for NAFTA

From: Christopher Sands and Colin MacKenzie To: Concerned Canadians Date: July 13, 2017 Re: New Rules for NAFTA As renegotiation on the North American Free Trade Agreement gets underway there is one fundamental change on the US side that promises to change the dynamic. This time there are 535 extra chefs in the kitchen. Under […]

Ben Dachis – How to Kickstart the Infrastructure Spending Boom

From: Benjamin Dachis To: Finance Ministers across Canada Date: July 12, 2017 Re: How to Kickstart the Infrastructure Spending Boom Governments across Canada are planning one of the largest collective infrastructure investments in history. With hundreds of billions of dollars of infrastructure investments on the books, governments need to find a way to pay for […]

Bank of Canada bets on growth with interest rate hike: Globe and Mail Op-Ed

Canadian monetary policy has just seen one of its most significant U-turns in recent years. On May 24, the Bank of Canada announced that it was holding its overnight rate steady. The tone of the announcement was less dovish than the previous one, but contained nothing to indicate impending rate increases. Shortly after the May announcement, markets were predicting a 5-per-cent chance of a rate increase in July. However, in the days preceding Wednesday’s announcement, that probability surpassed 90 per cent. With the bank increasing rates on Wednesday, how did we get so quickly from there to here?

Let’s start with the case for the rate hike. Unemployment has fallen to 6.5 per cent, GDP growth in the first quarter of 2017 was robust…

Bank of Canada Should Hold Overnight Rate at 0.50 Percent Next Week; Hike to 1.25 Percent by July 2018: C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy Council

July 6, 2017 — In a tight vote, the C.D. Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council (MPC) called for the Bank of Canada to keep its target for the overnight rate, the very short-term interest rate it targets for monetary policy purposes, at 0.50 percent at its next announcement on July 12, 2017.  The MPC called for the Bank to hike to 0.75 percent at the following announcement in September, with further hikes to 1.00 by January 2018 and 1.25 by July 2018.

The MPC provides an independent assessment of the monetary stance consistent with the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent inflation target. William Robson, the Institute’s President and CEO, chairs the Council.

Council members make recommendations for the Bank of…

The Knowledge Deficit about Taxes: Who It Affects and What to Do About It

The public’s knowledge gap on taxes leads to higher rates of tax avoidance, undermines trust in the government, and causes lower use of social programs, according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. The report entitled The Knowledge Deficit about Taxes: Who It Affects and What to Do About It, by Antoine Genest-Grégoire, […]

Knowledge Gap On Taxes Wide And Costly

The public’s knowledge gap on taxes leads to higher rates of tax avoidance, undermines trust in the government, and causes lower use of social programs, according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. The report entitled The Knowledge Deficit about Taxes: Who It Affects…

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