Recent employment data for tariff-exposed industries like motor vehicle and parts manufacturing demonstrates the importance of CUSMA to Canadian businesses. Motor vehicle and parts manufacturing experienced a significant decline in employment since January 2025, with employment declining nearly 6 percent from January 2025 to March 2026. While it may not be realistic for Canada-US trade […]
by Parisa Mahboubi and Tingting Zhang In 2025, Canada’s labour market cooled as employment growth slowed, unemployment rose, and job vacancies declined from the unusually tight conditions seen after the pandemic. Trade tensions with the United States, slower immigration-driven labour force growth, and technological change contributed to increasingly uneven labour market outcomes across regions, sectors, […]
May 28, 2026 – Trade uncertainty, weak productivity growth and technological change, along with demographic shifts, are reshaping Canada’s labour market, increasing risks for trade-exposed jobs and our future economic growth, according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “2025 Labour Market Review: Trade Uncertainty, Structural Pressures, and Policy Priorities for Canada,” […]
28 mai 2026 – L’incertitude commerciale, la faible croissance de la productivité et les changements technologiques, combinés aux transformations démographiques, redéfinissent le marché du travail canadien, accentuant les risques pour les emplois exposés aux échanges commerciaux et pour la croissance économique future du pays, selon un nouveau rapport de l’C.D. Howe Institute. Dans « 2025 […]
Youth unemployment in Canada is soaring, entry-level jobs demand years of experience, and many Gen Z graduates are wondering if AI will replace the careers they studied for. In this episode, economist and Wilfred Laurier professor Tammy Schirle breaks down what’s really happening in the job market — and why young Canadians are struggling more […]
Youth unemployment in Canada is soaring, entry-level jobs demand years of experience, and many Gen Z graduates are wondering if AI will replace the careers they studied for. In this episode, economist and Wilfred Laurier professor Tammy Schirle breaks down what’s really happening in the job market — and why young Canadians are struggling more […]
May 6, 2026 – As Canada’s economic data begin to reflect slower population growth, it may appear weaker than in the past, even when the economy is operating close to capacity. With immigration targets now reduced, slower employment and GDP growth will increasingly reflect demographic constraints rather than economic underperformance, according to a new report […]
6 mai 2026 – À mesure que les données économiques du Canada commencent à refléter un ralentissement de la croissance démographique, elles peuvent paraître plus faibles qu’auparavant, même lorsque l’économie fonctionne près de sa capacité. Avec la réduction des cibles d’immigration, le ralentissement de l’emploi et de la croissance du PIB reflétera de plus en […]
by Don Drummond and Parisa Mahboubi Canada’s reduced immigration targets mark a structural shift in labour force growth that will make economic data look weaker than in the past, even when the economy is operating close to capacity. The risk is not poor performance, but misinterpretation. Under a baseline scenario, employment is projected to decline […]
To: Childcare observers From: Parisa Mahboubi and Tingting Zhang Date: April 27, 2026 Re: Affordable but Unavailable: National Childcare’s Supply Crisis Ottawa’s $10-a-day childcare plan was supposed to make life easier. But for many families, it’s made care harder to find. Three years into the Canada-Wide Early Learning and Child Care (CWELCC), fees for regulated childcare have fallen sharply. But demand has surged far faster than supply. Waitlists have exploded, and […]
April 16, 2026 – Canada’s immigration system delivered stronger labour market outcomes for new permanent residents after 2015 despite unprecedented intake levels, but recent trends among temporary residents risk undermining those gains, according to a new report from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Selection Matters: Lessons from Two Decades of Immigrant Earnings,” Mikal Skuterud and […]
by Mikal Skuterud and Ruiwen Zhang This Commentary examines relative employment rates and hourly earnings of Canadian immigrants and non-permanent residents (NPRs) from 2005 to 2024, with particular attention to changes following the introduction of Express Entry in 2015 and the subsequent unprecedented rise in immigration levels. Despite significantly higher intake levels after 2015, the labour […]
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