The continuing credibility crisis of federal fiscal policy

Published in The Hub. Slogging through the 493 pages of the federal government’s November 4th, 2025, budget reveals the pre-release hype about transformational change to have been just that: hype. Start with the bloated page count. Like its predecessors, the budget buries the key numbers in hundreds of pages of repetition, reannouncements, and condescending political […]

A ‘generational budget’ that does little but set federal spending adrift

Published in The Globe and Mail. Ottawa’s budget lands at a pivotal moment. As Sunday’s Globe and Mail editorial put it, we have reached a fork in the road. The test for this budget was whether it would level with Canadians about the scale of the economic problems and chart a credible path forward. By that […]

Curing Canada’s Innovation Ills

From: John LesterTo: Canadians Concerned About Federal SpendingDate: November 5, 2025Re: Curing Canada’s Innovation Ills Canada faces a persistent productivity challenge that directly affects our national prosperity. At its core lies weak investment in machinery and equipment, and lacklustre innovation. I propose a set of targeted reforms aimed at fixing Canada’s innovation ills. Strengthening intellectual […]

Price of Earning More: The Hidden Tax on Parents and Senior Canadians

November 3, 2025 – For some parents and seniors, taking a second income, working more or drawing extra pension income can mean losing most of every extra dollar of income to taxes and benefit clawbacks. This can significantly weaken incentives to work or save, according to a C.D. Howe Institute report. In “The Clawback Trap: […]

The Clawback Trap: How Canada’s Benefit System Can Undermine Work and Saving

The Clawback Trap: How Canada’s Benefit System Can Undermine Work and Saving by Alexandre Laurin and Nicholas Dahir Clawbacks of government benefits can create high marginal effective tax rates (METRs) on extra income, or high participation tax rates (PTRs) on prospective income from taking on a job, that have a negative impact on work incentives […]

How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System

From: Don DrummondTo: Budget watchersDate: November 3, 2025Re: How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System Mark Carney has said tomorrow’s budget will include measures to give Canada a “highly competitive corporate tax system” though he offered few details. The Liberal election platform included some scattered tax measures intended to enhance competitiveness, but […]

If we have fiscal room, let’s target productivity in budget

Published in Financial Post. Opinion is divided on whether the federal government has fiscal room to play with in next week’s budget. Jason Jacques, interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, describes Ottawa’s fiscal prospects as “alarming,” stupefying” and “unsustainable.” Kevin Page, who was the first such officer, says the government’s finances are sustainable but significant new revenues will be needed to generate […]

How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System

From: Don DrummondTo: Budget watchersDate: October 27, 2025Re: How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System Mark Carney has said his November 4 budget will include measures to give Canada a “highly competitive corporate tax system” though he offered few details. The Liberal election platform included some scattered tax measures intended to enhance […]

Fall Budgets Good; New Capital Investment Definition Bad

From: Yves Giroux and Alexandre LaurinTo: Canadian fiscal observersDate: October 22, 2025Re: Fall Budgets Good; New Capital Investment Definition Bad The federal government recently announced two major changes to the way it manages and presents its finances: A new capital budgeting framework and a shift to fall budgets, with fiscal updates moving to the spring. […]

Ottawa promet plus de transparence, mais sa nouvelle astuce comptable fait l’inverse

De la part de: Yves Giroux and Alexandre Laurin A l’attention de: Observateurs économiqueDate: 22 octobre, 2025Sujet: Ottawa promet plus de transparence, mais sa nouvelle astuce comptable fait l’inverse Le 6 octobre, le gouvernement fédéral a annoncé deux changements majeurs dans la façon dont il gère et présente ses finances : la création d’un cadre […]

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