How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System

From: Don DrummondTo: Budget watchersDate: November 3, 2025Re: How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System Mark Carney has said tomorrow’s budget will include measures to give Canada a “highly competitive corporate tax system” though he offered few details. The Liberal election platform included some scattered tax measures intended to enhance competitiveness, but […]

If we have fiscal room, let’s target productivity in budget

Published in Financial Post. Opinion is divided on whether the federal government has fiscal room to play with in next week’s budget. Jason Jacques, interim Parliamentary Budget Officer, describes Ottawa’s fiscal prospects as “alarming,” stupefying” and “unsustainable.” Kevin Page, who was the first such officer, says the government’s finances are sustainable but significant new revenues will be needed to generate […]

How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System

From: Don DrummondTo: Budget watchersDate: October 27, 2025Re: How the Budget Could Deliver a Competitive Corporate Tax System Mark Carney has said his November 4 budget will include measures to give Canada a “highly competitive corporate tax system” though he offered few details. The Liberal election platform included some scattered tax measures intended to enhance […]

Fall Budgets Good; New Capital Investment Definition Bad

From: Yves Giroux and Alexandre LaurinTo: Canadian fiscal observersDate: October 22, 2025Re: Fall Budgets Good; New Capital Investment Definition Bad The federal government recently announced two major changes to the way it manages and presents its finances: A new capital budgeting framework and a shift to fall budgets, with fiscal updates moving to the spring. […]

Ottawa promet plus de transparence, mais sa nouvelle astuce comptable fait l’inverse

De la part de: Yves Giroux and Alexandre Laurin A l’attention de: Observateurs économiqueDate: 22 octobre, 2025Sujet: Ottawa promet plus de transparence, mais sa nouvelle astuce comptable fait l’inverse Le 6 octobre, le gouvernement fédéral a annoncé deux changements majeurs dans la façon dont il gère et présente ses finances : la création d’un cadre […]

Fall budgets are a good idea, accounting changes aren’t

Published in Financial Post. The federal government recently announced two major changes to the way it manages and presents its finances: a new capital budgeting framework and a shift to fall budgets, with fiscal updates moving to the spring. Moving budgets to the fall does make sense. But reclassifying spending through a new capital framework […]

Crowding Out Growth: Why Government Spending Must Make Room for Investment

Government consumption – exhaustive spending on employees and other inputs – competes most directly with the private sector for resources. When the economy is weak, as in the early 1990s, after the 2008 financial crisis, after the 2014 oil price collapse and during the COVID pandemic, it is natural for government consumption to rise as […]

Beware the False Comfort in PBO Deficit Projections

From: Don Drummond, Alexandre Laurin and William B. P. Robson To: Watchers of federal red inkDate: October 7, 2025Re: Beware the False Comfort in PBO Deficit Projections The Parliamentary Budget Office is projecting a federal deficit of $68.5 billion this fiscal year, with a four-year cumulative total through 2028-29 of $254.9 billion. That would leave Canada’s net […]

PBO overlooks spending commitments at Canada’s peril

Published in The Globe and Mail. The Parliamentary Budget Office is projecting a federal deficit of $68.5-billion this fiscal year, with a four-year cumulative total through 2028-29 of $254.9-billion. That would leave Canada’s net debt-to-GDP ratio well above 40 per cent. The interim Parliamentary Budget Officer described that outlook to a House of Commons committee as alarming and unsustainable […]

Time to break the glass on Canada’s investment emergency

Published in the Financial Post Eighteen months ago, Bank of Canada senior deputy governor Carolyn Rogers declared Canada’s poor productivity a national emergency. Since then, things have gotten worse. Our living standards are slipping: output and incomes per Canadian will fall in 2025 for the third year running. The nine per cent drop in real (price-adjusted) […]

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